Update on Challenged Ballots from the 11/09/2023 state matchback

Some data I extracted from the 11/09/2023 state matchback is below. Many challenged ballots won't be 'cured' by November 27th. For example, ~11K "Signature Does Not Match" voters may well be 'disenfranchised' this election. This happens every election. Please check your ballot status at: https://voter.votewa.gov . If your ballot is rejected, please follow your local election department instructions and check https://voter.votewa.gov to make sure your ballot was 'cured' by Nov. 27, 2023 (certification). All this data is current as of 11/09/2023. This data will change as ballot tabulation and ballot challenges increase. Some links for more election information is posted far below. The R 3.4 code I  wrote for this is here.

# WA cast ballots to date (11/09/2023).

# Not all have been tabulated = 1736804 

# Current WA Rejected Ballots = 21175

# Top 10 Challenge Reasons Statewide (All 39 Counties)

             ChallengeReason     N

 1: Signature Does Not Match 10849

 2:                 Unsigned  5253

 3:                   Review  2502

 4:                 Too Late  1408

 5:                     HOLD   375

 6:         Other than Voter   222

 7:      Ballot Style Change   219

 8:         Canvassing Board    63

 9:           Empty Envelope    58

10:         Other Than Voter    57

# Whatcom cast ballots to date. Not all have been tabulated = 82223

# Current Whatcom rejected ballots  = 1146

# Top Challenge Reasons for Whatcom

            ChallengeReason   N

1: Signature Does Not Match 642

2:                 Too Late 256

3:                 Unsigned 160

4:      Ballot Style Change  79

5:           Empty Envelope   7

6:                   Review   2

 

# Rejected Ballots ranked by Percentage For Cities with Voters > 40000

         City Rejected Voters RejectedPCT

1:  VANCOUVER      799  54869   1.4561957

2: BELLINGHAM      585  47398   1.2342293

3:    SEATTLE     2645 223867   1.1815051

4:    SPOKANE     1031  94957   1.0857546

5:    OLYMPIA      257  41776   0.6151858

6:     TACOMA      297  53596   0.5541458

 

# Rejected Ballots ranked by Percentage For Counties with Voters > 80000

      County Rejected Voters RejectedPCT

1:     Clark     1414  88950   1.5896571

2:   Whatcom     1146  82223   1.3937706

3: Snohomish     2322 186102   1.2477029

4:      King     5779 513474   1.1254708

5:   Spokane     1629 156330   1.0420265

6:    Pierce      853 164957   0.5171045

Clark County is rejecting nearly 1 out of every 63 ballots.

88950/1414

[1] 62.90665

Whatcom County is rejecting nearly 1 out of every 72 ballots.

82223/1146

[1] 71.74782

Links

https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20231107/turnout.html

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/data-research/2023-general-election

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/data-research/election-data-and-maps/ballot-return-statistics

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/data-research/election-data-and-maps/election-results-and-voters-pamphlets