"LCD" and LD Projections: 2018

These are "LCD" projections for 2018. Each LD part is coupled with their CD match (e.g. 42_1, 42_2) to give a more realistic picture of what races are competitive and what are not based on 2016 Presidential Votes. When I look at it this way, only LDs 6,10,17,24,26,44 represent competitive races. (e.g. margins less than 5% for the LD.) Some 'LCD's are competitive but the LD race is drowned out by the strength of one party in the opposing LCD(s). Not all LDs are split between CDs. The more dense, urban LDs in Seattle are often encompassed by one CD.

LCD	ClintonStein	TrumpJohnson	PresidentialVoters2016	ActiveVoters2018	Predict_Dem	Competitive	LCD
1_1	33205	20123	53328	64201	62.27%	0	1_1
1_2	14439	6845	21284	26248	67.84%	0	1_2
10_1	4734	5166	9900	12894	47.82%	47.82%	10_1
10_2	32047	32959	65006	83403	49.30%	49.30%	10_2
11_7	229	26	255	343	89.80%	0	11_7
11_8	5971	3717	9688	12154	61.63%	0	11_8
11_9	32566	12907	45473	61651	71.62%	0	11_9
12_4	7380	12298	19678	26149	37.50%	0	12_4
12_8	15602	23274	38876	50957	40.13%	0	12_8
13_4	7888	19840	27728	39628	28.45%	0	13_4
13_5	1294	4360	5654	7090	22.89%	0	13_5
13_8	7804	11008	18812	24155	41.48%	0	13_8
14_3	7562	10631	18193	23819	41.57%	0	14_3
14_4	14707	21698	36405	50847	40.40%	0	14_4
15_4	16605	21258	37863	57145	43.86%	0	15_4
16_4	8718	16389	25107	34892	34.72%	0	16_4
16_5	10089	14889	24978	32940	40.39%	0	16_5
17_3	28886	31873	60759	79314	47.54%	47.54%	17_3
18_3	32043	40824	72867	87815	43.97%	0	18_3
19_3	18960	24629	43589	60793	43.50%	0	19_3
19_6	5996	7089	13085	19209	45.82%	45.82%	19_6
2_10	16560	20955	37515	53164	44.14%	0	2_10
2_3	92	90	182	243	50.55%	50.55%	2_3
2_8	7820	15875	23695	34059	33.00%	0	2_8
20_10	2394	3554	5948	8316	40.25%	0	20_10
20_3	18718	39549	58267	77937	32.12%	0	20_3
21_2	31761	17961	49722	65588	63.88%	0	21_2
21_7	10165	5054	15219	17735	66.79%	0	21_7
22_10	46979	25894	72873	97224	64.47%	0	22_10
23_6	41569	28952	70521	91670	58.95%	0	23_6
24_6	38437	35829	74266	96393	51.76%	51.76%	24_6
25_10	25698	28123	53821	74597	47.75%	47.75%	25_10
25_8	2757	3733	6490	8964	42.48%	0	25_8
26_6	33719	37206	70925	92365	47.54%	47.54%	26_6
27_10	5873	2978	8851	14540	66.35%	0	27_10
27_6	29384	11812	41196	54160	71.33%	0	27_6
27_9	5980	4461	10441	13577	57.27%	0	27_9
28_10	25995	21251	47246	65686	55.02%	0	28_10
28_6	4099	2339	6438	8308	63.67%	0	28_6
28_8	1422	2393	3815	5819	37.27%	0	28_8
29_10	15822	13402	29224	45329	54.14%	54.14%	29_10
29_6	8829	4984	13813	22094	63.92%	0	29_6
3_5	29153	23417	52570	76241	55.46%	0	3_5
30_10	4	5	9	8	44.44%	0	30_10
30_8	9098	8113	17211	24545	52.86%	52.86%	30_8
30_9	20845	12781	33626	45531	61.99%	0	30_9
31_10	4476	4982	9458	12990	47.33%	47.33%	31_10
31_8	23885	31995	55880	77061	42.74%	0	31_8
32_2	12789	6326	19115	25352	66.91%	0	32_2
32_7	39074	11630	50704	62218	77.06%	0	32_7
33_7	7548	3332	10880	14080	69.38%	0	33_7
33_8	337	188	525	708	64.19%	0	33_8
33_9	25741	12991	38732	53057	66.46%	0	33_9
34_7	64126	14382	78508	94013	81.68%	0	34_7
35_10	14024	13687	27711	37060	50.61%	50.61%	35_10
35_6	17508	22266	39774	53693	44.02%	0	35_6
36_7	83301	11914	95215	107824	87.49%	0	36_7
37_7	3845	407	4252	5197	90.43%	0	37_7
37_9	57217	6436	63653	82544	89.89%	0	37_9
38_2	30649	23800	54449	75760	56.29%	0	38_2
39_1	18569	25218	43787	59974	42.41%	0	39_1
39_2	7745	10589	18334	25813	42.24%	0	39_2
4_5	25587	43831	69418	89908	36.86%	0	4_5
40_1	5616	4471	10087	12987	55.68%	0	40_1
40_2	42281	20174	62455	78448	67.70%	0	40_2
41_8	11225	5996	17221	20417	65.18%	0	41_8
41_9	40355	16931	57286	70892	70.44%	0	41_9
42_1	22174	30992	53166	69290	41.71%	0	42_1
42_2	14828	5266	20094	25471	73.79%	0	42_2
43_7	79499	7503	87002	100486	91.38%	0	43_7
43_9	1343	128	1471	1699	91.30%	0	43_9
44_1	31647	27214	58861	75401	53.77%	53.77%	44_1
44_2	6127	6240	12367	16444	49.54%	49.54%	44_2
45_1	40397	20600	60997	74304	66.23%	0	45_1
45_8	8323	3911	12234	14878	68.03%	0	45_8
46_1	8355	3337	11692	14105	71.46%	0	46_1
46_7	61999	9862	71861	84555	86.28%	0	46_7
47_8	25307	21046	46353	63662	54.60%	54.60%	47_8
47_9	6773	3978	10751	14589	63.00%	0	47_9
48_1	25589	10850	36439	42867	70.22%	0	48_1
48_9	18426	8013	26439	32519	69.69%	0	48_9
49_3	32734	24814	57548	73967	56.88%	0	49_3
5_1	4848	3774	8622	10775	56.23%	0	5_1
5_8	37709	28905	66614	82347	56.61%	0	5_8
5_9	537	381	918	1152	58.50%	0	5_9
6_5	32573	37005	69578	86999	46.82%	46.82%	6_5
7_4	2783	6041	8824	11857	31.54%	0	7_4
7_5	18686	42224	60910	78190	30.68%	0	7_5
8_4	22746	40342	63088	84306	36.05%	0	8_4
9_4	6972	14962	21934	30433	31.79%	0	9_4