There will be a day of remembrance for Mike Brown tomorrow (Sunday) at 5:30 in Cornwall Park. This was also announced in the Herald.
On August 10th, Monday the Bellingham Police will have a hearing on the use of Bair Analytics predictive software. There will be a rally created by the Bellingham Racial Justice Commmission beforehand.
I've created some graphs and tables from 89 days of data from COB summaries. Predictive software uses existing data to predict where crime will happen. There has been some lively discussion about the use of predictive software and racial profiling. Here are the articles I found most interesting in researching predictive policing:
- http://www.eastbayexpress.com/oakland/oakland-mayor-schaaf-and-police-seek-unproven-predictive-policing-software/Content?oid=4362343
- http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR200/RR233/RAND_RR233.pdf
- http://www.theverge.com/2014/2/19/5419854/the-minority-report-this-computer-predicts-crime-but-is-it-racist
- http://www.laweekly.com/news/license-plate-recognition-logs-our-lives-long-before-we-sin-2175357
- http://www.laweekly.com/news/forget-the-nsa-the-lapd-spies-on-millions-of-innocent-folks-4473467
Below is a three month look at crime high points and locations in Bellingham. There were 5533 Offense summaries for those 89 days. I created some tables and charts to summarize that volume. Code for this post is here. Click on charts to enlarge.
Top 20 for Offense and Location between 05.10 - 08.07 2015 (89 days)
Offense n1 THEFT 430
2 SUSPICIOUS CIRCUMSTANCE 301
3 WARRANT ARREST 292
4 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON 288
5 DOMESTIC DISPUTE (NO ASSAULT) 239
6 PROPERTY - FOUND/RECOVERED 223
7 VEHICLE PROWL 192
8 ACCIDENT - AUTO 191
9 WELFARE CHECK 168
10 MALICIOUS MISCHIEF 166
11 INFORMATION REPORT 165
12 TRAFFIC STOP (Violation) 138
13 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION 131
14 MENTAL PROBLEM 122
15 SHOPLIFTING 104
16 TRESPASS 104
17 BURGLARY 97
18 ACCIDENT - HIT & RUN 95
19 IMPOUND - PRIVATE 88
20 CIVIL CASE 86
Location n
1 500 BLK W HOLLY ST 108
2 000 BLK BELLIS FAIR PK 84
3 500 BLK GRAND AV 84
4 4400 BLK MERIDIAN ST 76
5 300 BLK GRAND AV 62
6 200 BLK E MAGNOLIA ST 58
7 100 BLK E HOLLY ST 57
8 2900 BLK SQUALICUM PK 56
9 1000 BLK E SUNSET DR 51
10 300 BLK E BELLIS FAIR PK 49
11 800 BLK LAKEWAY DR 47
12 4200 BLK MERIDIAN ST 41
13 1100 BLK RAILROAD AV 40
14 1200 BLK E SUNSET DR 40
15 000 BLK ZUNKNOWN 39
16 1800 BLK TEXAS ST 39
17 3400 BLK WOBURN ST 37
18 000 BLK ZOUTSIDE CITY LIMITS 36
19 200 BLK N SAMISH WY 36
20 2700 BLK W MAPLEWOOD AV 35
From a subset top 20 offenses: Locations from Offenses with greater than 5 incidents at that location.
Location n Offense
1 300 BLK GRAND AV 48 WARRANT ARREST
2 500 BLK W HOLLY ST 38 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION
3 000 BLK BELLIS FAIR PK 35 THEFT
4 200 BLK E MAGNOLIA ST 31 PROPERTY - FOUND/RECOVERED
5 4400 BLK MERIDIAN ST 29 THEFT
6 500 BLK W HOLLY ST 28 TRESPASS
7 1100 BLK RAILROAD AV 27 IMPOUND - PRIVATE
8 500 BLK GRAND AV 15 PROPERTY - FOUND/RECOVERED
9 500 BLK GRAND AV 14 WARRANT ARREST
10 100 BLK E HOLLY ST 13 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION
11 300 BLK E BELLIS FAIR PK 13 SHOPLIFTING
12 300 BLK E BELLIS FAIR PK 12 THEFT
13 1200 BLK E SUNSET DR 11 THEFT
14 500 BLK GRAND AV 11 INFORMATION REPORT
15 4400 BLK MERIDIAN ST 11 SHOPLIFTING
16 800 BLK LAKEWAY DR 10 THEFT
17 1600 BLK C ST 10 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION
18 900 BLK W HOLLY ST 10 TRESPASS
19 1000 BLK E SUNSET DR 9 THEFT
20 300 BLK MEADOWBROOK CT 9 SUSPICIOUS CIRCUMSTANCE
21 1000 BLK E SUNSET DR 9 WARRANT ARREST
22 100 BLK SAMISH WY 9 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
23 1300 BLK LAKEWAY DR 9 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
24 000 BLK ZUNKNOWN 8 THEFT
25 2900 BLK SQUALICUM PK 8 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
26 1100 BLK E SUNSET DR 8 SHOPLIFTING
27 1200 BLK N FOREST ST 8 SHOPLIFTING
28 1200 BLK W BAKERVIEW RD 7 THEFT
29 200 BLK N SAMISH WY 7 SUSPICIOUS CIRCUMSTANCE
30 100 BLK E HOLLY ST 7 WARRANT ARREST
31 100 BLK E HOLLY ST 7 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
32 500 BLK W HOLLY ST 7 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
33 2700 BLK W MAPLEWOOD AV 7 DOMESTIC DISPUTE (NO ASSAULT)
34 4000 BLK NORTHWEST AV 7 VEHICLE PROWL
35 3200 BLK ARBOR CT 7 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION
36 1500 BLK BIRCHWOOD AV 6 THEFT
37 200 BLK 36 ST 6 THEFT
38 3900 BLK MERIDIAN ST 6 THEFT
39 000 BLK BELLIS FAIR PK 6 SUSPICIOUS CIRCUMSTANCE
40 000 BLK BELLIS FAIR PK 6 WARRANT ARREST
41 000 BLK ZOUTSIDE CITY LIMITS 6 WARRANT ARREST
42 4400 BLK MERIDIAN ST 6 WARRANT ARREST
43 500 BLK W HOLLY ST 6 WARRANT ARREST
44 1200 BLK E SUNSET DR 6 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
45 200 BLK 36 ST 6 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
46 200 BLK E MAGNOLIA ST 6 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
47 3900 BLK MERIDIAN ST 6 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON
48 100 BLK E MAGNOLIA ST 6 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION
49 100 BLK W HOLLY ST 6 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION
50 000 BLK BELLIS FAIR PK 6 SHOPLIFTING
51 2900 BLK WOBURN ST 6 SHOPLIFTING
52 4200 BLK MERIDIAN ST 6 ACCIDENT - HIT & RUN
All Offenses between 05.10 - 08.07 2015 (89 days)
Offense n
1 THEFT 430
2 SUSPICIOUS CIRCUMSTANCE 301
3 WARRANT ARREST 292
4 TROUBLE WITH A PERSON 288
5 DOMESTIC DISPUTE (NO ASSAULT) 239
6 PROPERTY - FOUND/RECOVERED 223
7 VEHICLE PROWL 192
8 ACCIDENT - AUTO 191
9 WELFARE CHECK 168
10 MALICIOUS MISCHIEF 166
11 INFORMATION REPORT 165
12 TRAFFIC STOP (Violation) 138
13 LIQUOR LAW VIOLATION 131
14 MENTAL PROBLEM 122
15 SHOPLIFTING 104
16 TRESPASS 104
17 BURGLARY 97
18 ACCIDENT - HIT & RUN 95
19 IMPOUND - PRIVATE 88
20 CIVIL CASE 86
21 ASSIST CITIZEN 84
22 ASSAULT - Misdemeanor 83
23 MUNICIPAL CODE VIOLATION 76
24 THEFT OF A BICYCLE 76
25 ACCIDENT - INJURY 74
26 ASSIST OTHER AGENCY 72
27 PARKING PROBLEM 63
28 GRAFFITI 56
29 NEIGHBORHOOD DISPUTE 56
30 JUVENILE PROBLEM 55
31 VIOLATION OF A COURT ORDER 55
32 DRIVING UNDER THE INFLUENCE 54
33 SUICIDE - Attempt/Threat 51
34 HOMELESS CLEAN UP 48
35 IDENTITY THEFT - IMPERSONATION 46
36 NOISE ORDINANCE 45
37 HOMELESS NOTIFICATION 43
38 AUTO THEFT - TMVWOOP 42
39 FIELD INTERVIEW REPORT 40
40 JUVENILE RUNAWAY 38
41 DISORDERLY CONDUCT 33
42 DRUG - NARCOTICS VIOLATIONS 33
43 DRUNK PERSON 32
44 LOUD PARTY 32
45 HOMELESS 30
46 SERVICE OF PAPERS 29
47 ALARM (COMMERCIAL/OTHER) 28
48 DEATH INVESTIGATION 28
49 HARASSMENT 28
50 PROPERTY - LOST 28
51 ASSAULT - Felony 21
52 FIGHT 21
53 LITTER 21
54 MISSING PERSON 19
55 TRANSPORT 18
56 EXTRA PATROL 17
57 URINATING IN PUBLIC PLACE 17
58 TRESPASS AUTHORIZATION LETTER 16
59 DRUGS - INVESTIGATION 15
60 ROBBERY 14
61 RAPE 13
62 OBSTRUCTING A LAW ENF OFFICER 12
63 OVERDOSE 12
64 SENILE PERSON 12
65 SITTING & LYING VIOLATION 12
66 DRUG HOUSE 11
67 FIREWORKS 11
68 SECURITY CHECK 11
69 CONTACT SUBJECT 10
70 ANIMAL PROBLEM 9
71 COUNTERFEIT 9
72 FORGERY 9
73 FRAUD 9
74 PROSTITUTION 9
75 ABANDONED VEHICLE 8
76 HARASSING PHONE CALLS 8
77 TRAFFIC CONTROL/PROBLEM 8
78 JUNK VEHICLE 7
79 POSSESSION OF STOLEN PROPERTY 7
80 THREATS 7
81 AUTO RECOVERY 6
82 COMMUNITY ORIENTED POLICING 5
83 FALSE STATEMENT OR REPORTING 5
84 PROWLER 5
85 RAPE OF A CHILD 5
86 ROAD RAGE 5
87 UNFOUNDED 5
88 INDECENT EXPOSURE 4
89 HAZARD 3
90 SHOTS FIRED 3
91 SUICIDE 3
92 ALARM (VERIFIED) 2
93 ARSON - RECKLESS BURNING 2
94 CHILD - LOST/FOUND 2
95 CHILD ABUSE 2
96 CUSTODIAL INTERFERENCE 2
97 EXPLOSIVES 2
98 GANG ACTIVITY 2
99 KIDNAP - Unlawful Imprisonment 2
100 SEX CRIME (NO RAPE) 2
101 WATCH FOR 2
102 WEAPON VIOLATIONS 2
103 911 HANG UP CALL 1
104 ANIMAL ABUSE 1
105 BIKE VIOLATION 1
106 CROWD CONTROL 1
107 FIRE INVESTIGATION 1
108 IMPOUND (LAW ENFORCEMENT) 1
109 INSPECTION 1
110 PRESCRIPTION FRAUD 1
111 PUBLIC TALKS 1
112 VEHICULAR ASSAULT 1
113 VOYEURISM 1
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