Every week voters are removed and added to the Washington voter rolls by your local election office. Every quarter this process is specifically repeated in coordination with a PEW States initiative in Olympia called ERIC[1,2,3,4,5,6].
There are three status code for any voter on Washington voter rolls: (A) "Active", (I) "Inactive", (C) "Cancelled". The status you want is (A) "Active". If you move and a ballot is returned "undeliverable", the election office will make some attempt with the information they have to contact you. If they can't find you (hey, you moved!), then onto the (I) "Inactive" list you go. If you miss a couple of elections without voting (for example), then onto the (C) "Cancelled" list you go. If you have just moved, you can solve this problem by logging into myvote.wa.gov and updating your address. This will re-activate your voting status to (A) "Active". There are a number of other reasons why your status could end up (I) "Inactive" or (C) "Cancelled", but for most, the path to (I) or (C) is moving and not remembering to update myvote.wa.gov. The path back to (A) "Active" is to logon to myvote.wa.gov and update your registration to your correct address. If you have any problems at all with this process in Whatcom County, please call the Elections Office.
If you are a student who moves home for the summer, change your address to your home when you move, then vote in your home county or state primary. When you return in the fall, change your address back when you find your new place in Bellingham or Whatcom County. Update your address at myvote.wa.gov as soon as you move to make sure you can vote for both the primary in the summer and general election in the fall! There, I mentioned myvote.wa.gov eight times. Okay, the PSA part of this blog is over. Math, numbers and electoral theory (currently under construction) continue after the break...
Under Construction : R Code with here:
Some output from R Code:
## Voter Net Gain and Loss per precinct from year over year and from last general 11.22.2014 to current date 06.26.2015;
## Also,code to establish 'Flux' from a voterdb time series
## Status Codes: A = Active; I = Inactive; C = Cancelled
## Registration Numbers, the unit of change here, can (sometimes but not often) be recycled to other users in the Whatcom County voterdb
## Ryan M. Ferris 11:53 AM 10/3/2015
## Load six voterdbs
## 5.20.2014
## 11.22.2014
## 12.19.2014
## 02.27.2015
## 06.26.2015
## 10.02.2015
# Compute differences
# Counts represent simply sequential net loss and gain of Active Voters for all periods:
nrow(voterdb1A)
[1] 126962
nrow(voterdb2A)
[1] 127211
nrow(voterdb3A)
[1] 128491
nrow(voterdb4A)
[1] 125879
nrow(voterdb5A)
[1] 125879
nrow(voterdb6A)
[1] 128572
# Current Active, Inactive, Cancelled Voters
nrow(voterdb6A)
[1] 128572
nrow(voterdb6I)
[1] 12481
nrow(voterdb6C)
[1] 24532
## None of these capture 'flux' from one year to another: this is intersect,loss,gain from point of origin
## Intersection from one point of origin - voters lost. e.g. intersect(x,y) = "In x and in y"
## point of origin here: 05.20.2014
length(intersect(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 122251
length(intersect(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb3A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 123948
length(intersect(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb4A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 124949
length(intersect(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb5A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 124949
length(intersect(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb6A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 122973
## setdiff from one point of origin - voters lost. e.g. setdiff(x,y) = "In x not in y"
length(setdiff(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 4711
length(setdiff(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb3A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 3014
length(setdiff(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb4A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 2013
length(setdiff(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb5A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 2013
length(setdiff(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb6A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 3989
## setdiff from points of origin - voters gained . e.g. setdiff(y,x) = "In y not in x"
length(setdiff(voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 4960
length(setdiff(voterdb3A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 4543
length(setdiff(voterdb4A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 930
length(setdiff(voterdb5A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 930
length(setdiff(voterdb6A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 5599
## setdiff from consecutive points of origin - voters lost each period. e.g. setdiff(x,y) = "In x not in y"
length(setdiff(voterdb1A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 4711
length(setdiff(voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb3A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 471
length(setdiff(voterdb3A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb4A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 3781
length(setdiff(voterdb4A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb5A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 0
length(setdiff(voterdb5A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb6A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 4804
## setdiff from an arbitray point of origin showing significant voters lost between these periods.
## Comparison points here are 11.22.2014 to 10.02.2015
## e.g. setdiff(x,y) = "In x not in y"
length(setdiff(voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb6A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 8507
length(setdiff(voterdb6A$RegistrationNumber,voterdb2A$RegistrationNumber))
[1] 9868
WhatISLost
lost.Var1 lost.Freq gained.Var1 gained.Freq
1 101 3 101 -3
2 102 3 102 -3
3 103 -14 103 14
4 104 -4 104 4
5 105 8 105 -8
6 106 -9 106 9
7 107 -28 107 28
8 108 18 108 -18
9 110 -26 110 26
10 111 -17 111 17
11 112 -7 112 7
12 113 8 113 -8
13 114 6 114 -6
14 115 -16 115 16
15 116 -2 116 2
16 117 6 117 -6
17 118 -27 118 27
18 119 -30 119 30
19 120 4 120 -4
20 121 -23 121 23
21 122 4 122 -4
22 123 -13 123 13
23 124 2 124 -2
24 125 -23 125 23
25 126 -19 126 19
26 127 -7 127 7
27 129 -1 129 1
28 130 5 130 -5
29 131 -3 131 3
30 132 7 132 -7
31 133 16 133 -16
32 134 10 134 -10
33 135 -24 135 24
34 136 17 136 -17
35 137 -19 137 19
36 138 23 138 -23
37 139 -2 139 2
38 140 -22 140 22
39 141 -22 141 22
40 142 -38 142 38
41 143 -19 143 19
42 144 -11 144 11
43 145 -13 145 13
44 146 -11 146 11
45 147 7 147 -7
46 148 -27 148 27
47 149 0 149 0
48 150 -46 150 46
49 151 7 151 -7
50 152 -8 152 8
51 153 -4 153 4
52 154 -11 154 11
53 155 -8 155 8
54 156 -13 156 13
55 157 -5 157 5
56 158 -21 158 21
57 159 -11 159 11
58 160 -5 160 5
59 161 -3 161 3
60 162 -27 162 27
61 163 -10 163 10
62 164 -9 164 9
63 165 -4 165 4
64 166 17 166 -17
65 167 2 167 -2
66 168 -5 168 5
67 169 5 169 -5
68 170 14 170 -14
69 171 -10 171 10
70 172 -24 172 24
71 173 11 173 -11
72 174 -18 174 18
73 175 -9 175 9
74 176 -14 176 14
75 177 0 177 0
76 178 -21 178 21
77 179 -2 179 2
78 180 -7 180 7
79 181 8 181 -8
80 182 -23 182 23
81 183 -2 183 2
82 201 -14 201 14
83 202 0 202 0
84 203 -2 203 2
85 204 -15 204 15
86 205 -10 205 10
87 206 -5 206 5
88 207 -16 207 16
89 208 -10 208 10
90 209 -6 209 6
91 210 -22 210 22
92 211 -20 211 20
93 212 19 212 -19
94 213 -3 213 3
95 214 9 214 -9
96 215 -18 215 18
97 216 26 216 -26
98 217 -8 217 8
99 218 -13 218 13
100 219 -4 219 4
101 220 -87 220 87
102 221 18 221 -18
103 222 15 222 -15
104 223 -8 223 8
105 224 -8 224 8
106 225 -101 225 101
107 226 -26 226 26
108 227 23 227 -23
109 228 -21 228 21
110 229 8 229 -8
111 230 -48 230 48
112 231 -54 231 54
113 232 2 232 -2
114 233 24 233 -24
115 234 -8 234 8
116 235 -3 235 3
117 236 -3 236 3
118 237 -13 237 13
119 238 -3 238 3
120 239 25 239 -25
121 240 -4 240 4
122 241 6 241 -6
123 242 -11 242 11
124 243 -8 243 8
125 244 35 244 -35
126 245 156 245 -156
127 246 -11 246 11
128 247 9 247 -9
129 248 11 248 -11
130 249 -9 249 9
131 250 -22 250 22
132 251 -6 251 6
133 252 129 252 -129
134 253 -50 253 50
135 254 16 254 -16
136 255 -8 255 8
137 256 -13 256 13
138 257 -11 257 11
139 258 -6 258 6
140 259 7 259 -7
141 260 -5 260 5
142 261 16 261 -16
143 262 -31 262 31
144 263 4 263 -4
145 264 1 264 -1
146 265 -4 265 4
147 266 7 266 -7
148 267 1 267 -1
149 268 -2 268 2
150 301 -6 301 6
151 302 -38 302 38
152 303 -33 303 33
153 304 22 304 -22
154 401 -5 401 5
155 402 -27 402 27
156 501 -23 501 23
157 502 7 502 -7
158 503 -11 503 11
159 504 -7 504 7
160 505 -37 505 37
161 506 0 506 0
162 507 2 507 -2
163 508 -67 508 67
164 509 -33 509 33
165 601 -22 601 22
166 602 -13 602 13
167 603 -24 603 24
168 604 -118 604 118
169 605 -7 605 7
170 606 -14 606 14
171 607 -27 607 27
172 608 -31 608 31
173 609 -18 609 18
174 610 5 610 -5
175 611 -18 611 18
176 701 -31 701 31
177 801 -18 801 18
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