05.20.2014 Whatcom County Voter General Election Database: The Precincts....

Per Precinct Registrants(Blue) and Votes (Red) for the 2013 General Election.

Under Construction 9:23 PM 6/07/2014. Technical  piece for this blog is here. Below the break I have  assorted graphs to assist the viewer in examining the registration and turnout for the 2013 General Election by precinct. The charts below explicate five years of general election in Whatcom County for voters registered as of May 20,2014. This means that we are looking at election turnout numbers only for those people currently registered to vote as of May 20th, 2014. In the next piece, I will look at the 2600 plus voters who have registered or re-registered since the start of 2014 . As of 06.05.2014, the voter database for Whatcom County stood at 126418 registered voters.

The precincts are numbered sequentially in most of these graphs from 1 to 177. However, actual precinct IDs for Whatcom County map as below. The 100 series maps mostly North to South throughout the county. The 200 series is generally reserved for Bellingham.  The 300 - 800 series are reserved for the small cities in Whatcom County (Blaine, Everson, Ferndale, Lynden, Sumas). A  detailed high resolution precinct map of Whatcom County can be found here. You can look up your voting precinct at MyVote WA. Precinct IDs and number change over time with population growth and electoral reorganization. Once again, the list below is compromised of voters active 05.20.2014 who  were registered as of the 2013 general election.

Precincts PrecinctID Votes Registrants VotesNotCounted Turnout 1 101 428 923 495 0.46 2 102 342 612 270 0.56 3 103 448 653 205 0.69 4 104 271 402 131 0.67 5 105 225 387 162 0.58 6 106 350 729 379 0.48 7 107 462 886 424 0.52 8 108 510 1018 508 0.50 9 110 346 654 308 0.53 10 111 410 768 358 0.53 11 112 210 376 166 0.56 12 113 397 658 261 0.60 13 114 219 453 234 0.48 14 115 448 815 367 0.55 15 116 290 482 192 0.60 16 117 359 536 177 0.67 17 118 508 853 345 0.60 18 119 249 405 156 0.61 19 120 395 697 302 0.57 20 121 303 528 225 0.57 21 122 291 521 230 0.56 22 123 283 508 225 0.56 23 124 287 465 178 0.62 24 125 381 806 425 0.47 25 126 543 957 414 0.57 26 127 564 954 390 0.59 27 129 491 775 284 0.63 28 130 284 504 220 0.56 29 131 531 891 360 0.60 30 132 354 652 298 0.54 31 133 260 961 701 0.27 32 134 607 978 371 0.62 33 135 391 802 411 0.49 34 136 377 795 418 0.47 35 137 295 930 635 0.32 36 138 522 721 199 0.72 37 139 224 355 131 0.63 38 140 651 1077 426 0.60 39 141 520 872 352 0.60 40 142 316 710 394 0.45 41 143 282 529 247 0.53 42 144 593 826 233 0.72 43 145 566 874 308 0.65 44 146 558 1007 449 0.55 45 147 456 821 365 0.56 46 148 438 902 464 0.49 47 149 356 586 230 0.61 48 150 505 864 359 0.58 49 151 516 929 413 0.56 50 152 402 744 342 0.54 51 153 446 809 363 0.55 52 154 323 518 195 0.62 53 155 325 528 203 0.62 54 156 228 350 122 0.65 55 157 204 416 212 0.49 56 158 223 376 153 0.59 57 159 134 249 115 0.54 58 160 485 873 388 0.56 59 161 322 554 232 0.58 60 162 396 656 260 0.60 61 163 424 687 263 0.62 62 164 179 242 63 0.74 63 165 240 406 166 0.59 64 166 526 933 407 0.56 65 167 88 134 46 0.66 66 168 600 880 280 0.68 67 169 694 1062 368 0.65 68 170 359 537 178 0.67 69 171 568 858 290 0.66 70 172 314 475 161 0.66 71 173 398 594 196 0.67 72 174 370 717 347 0.52 73 175 422 829 407 0.51 74 176 353 579 226 0.61 75 177 287 541 254 0.53 76 178 459 883 424 0.52 77 179 119 198 79 0.60 78 180 462 605 143 0.76 79 181 628 983 355 0.64 80 182 526 1117 591 0.47 81 183 17 28 11 0.61 82 201 579 1189 610 0.49 83 202 323 553 230 0.58 84 203 442 844 402 0.52 85 204 210 553 343 0.38 86 205 329 560 231 0.59 87 206 480 952 472 0.50 88 207 326 503 177 0.65 89 208 678 1150 472 0.59 90 209 498 768 270 0.65 91 210 594 806 212 0.74 92 211 382 835 453 0.46 93 212 187 443 256 0.42 94 213 590 957 367 0.62 95 214 429 601 172 0.71 96 215 517 745 228 0.69 97 216 479 790 311 0.61 98 217 331 546 215 0.61 99 218 324 695 371 0.47 100 219 375 744 369 0.50 101 220 293 691 398 0.42 102 221 461 752 291 0.61 103 222 682 943 261 0.72 104 223 323 524 201 0.62 105 224 162 281 119 0.58 106 225 418 844 426 0.50 107 226 230 544 314 0.42 108 227 472 855 383 0.55 109 228 390 732 342 0.53 110 229 427 1001 574 0.43 111 230 248 697 449 0.36 112 231 390 971 581 0.40 113 232 517 779 262 0.66 114 233 448 786 338 0.57 115 234 551 803 252 0.69 116 235 294 465 171 0.63 117 236 225 344 119 0.65 118 237 318 515 197 0.62 119 238 349 563 214 0.62 120 239 554 950 396 0.58 121 240 534 824 290 0.65 122 241 372 658 286 0.57 123 242 307 473 166 0.65 124 243 473 700 227 0.68 125 244 486 761 275 0.64 126 245 265 1278 1013 0.21 127 246 382 718 336 0.53 128 247 305 740 435 0.41 129 248 280 548 268 0.51 130 249 532 871 339 0.61 131 250 646 892 246 0.72 132 251 500 644 144 0.78 133 252 138 605 467 0.23 134 253 299 998 699 0.30 135 254 405 627 222 0.65 136 255 297 544 247 0.55 137 256 472 704 232 0.67 138 257 246 512 266 0.48 139 258 494 796 302 0.62 140 259 314 471 157 0.67 141 260 417 574 157 0.73 142 261 432 561 129 0.77 143 262 403 651 248 0.62 144 263 429 756 327 0.57 145 264 527 720 193 0.73 146 265 383 547 164 0.70 147 266 474 729 255 0.65 148 267 56 104 48 0.54 149 268 26 58 32 0.45 150 301 471 931 460 0.51 151 302 503 991 488 0.51 152 303 497 708 211 0.70 153 304 148 306 158 0.48 154 401 259 552 293 0.47 155 402 316 634 318 0.50 156 501 388 697 309 0.56 157 502 333 722 389 0.46 158 503 451 812 361 0.56 159 504 223 409 186 0.55 160 505 447 891 444 0.50 161 506 398 809 411 0.49 162 507 361 675 314 0.53 163 508 427 850 423 0.50 164 509 273 590 317 0.46 165 601 657 975 318 0.67 166 602 502 806 304 0.62 167 603 346 651 305 0.53 168 604 381 679 298 0.56 169 605 292 454 162 0.64 170 606 472 787 315 0.60 171 607 441 670 229 0.66 172 608 420 718 298 0.58 173 609 537 874 337 0.61 174 610 572 848 276 0.67 175 611 355 570 215 0.62 176 701 381 724 343 0.53 177 801 309 653 344 0.47

This first graph below gives us a snapshot of the registered voters for the 2013 election still active today. As you can see, the precincts are irregularly populated with registrants:

The next graph show us those voters active today who voted during the  2013 General Election. Note the Y axis scale. This a much smaller subset of all total registered voters:

The overlay below put those voters active today who voted in the 2013 General Election in Red. Those voters still registered today who did not vote in the 2013 General Election are underlain  in blue.

Here is a line graph that takes the voters from the two groups described in the last graph and divides them to get a turnout %; still looking backward from the perspective of those voters active as of May 20th, 2014.

The next two charts below look at the same data (Registrants, Voters) in first two charts, but use a 'qplot' (from ggplot2 in R) that shows us population density along the X axis.  This is an unconventional look at density that may require some perceptual adjustment. Read your own precinct horizontally across the X axis. The darker blue and red lines generally represent  more urban precincts.

Here's another ggplot2 look at the 100, 200, and 300 - 800 series precinct. Red lines represent smoothed and otherwise registrants, blue votes, yellow smoothed turnout percentage. Click to Enlarge this one. It is worth a look.

A similar chart that divides the 177 precincts equally into 5 groups is below.

The last charts are 'lattice' or trellis graphics.  They are looking at the "poor performers" for Turnout %, Registration, Total Votes in 2013 General . I have constructed two sets of "poor performers":

[Precinct Set A]

• Less 35 percent turnout
• Less than 350 registrants
• Less than 350 Votes in the 2013 General Election 

[Precinct Set B]

• Less 50 percent turnout
• Less than 500 registrants
• Less than 500 Votes in the 2013 General Election 

These graphs are sorted by sequential precinct numbering (not PrecinctIDs) alphabetically but not numerically. Along the X axis of each chart is a number that combines  the voters represented for the specific chart. Click to enlarge the graphs