Translate

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Whatcom County at 86,379 Votes Counted

Certification Date:11/23/2010
Number of Precincts:120
Number of Registered Voters:116576
Total Ballots Cast:86379
Ballots Left to Count:400
Next Ballot Count On:Nov 12 2010 5:00PM
Last Tabulated:Nov 10 2010 6:38PM
Voter Turnout:74.10%


Except for the short Saturday count, Linville has been narrowing Buy’s tenuous lead at every ballot count. To be frank, I was surprised (given the drift toward the Democrats), that she didn’t catch Buys earlier. I chocked it up to the poor showing for the Democrats in the 42nd (Jensen and Jerns were never really within striking distance…). However, Linville is a long time incumbent. She would have many established relationships among 42nd precincts. In addition, even the 42nd was drifting toward the Democrats in the Jensen and Jerns races, although the ‘drift’ was no where near the Democrat stampede in the 40th in Whatcom County: Morris and Lytton each have over 61% of the Whatcom County Vote for their seats. Whether Linville can pick up enough votes in a manual (hand) recount...


Some Republicans are complaining that her recent vote gain was "anomalous".  The only anomaly I see in her vote count was Saturday, when Buys increased his lead (between vote counts) for the first time.

[All stats from SOS CSVs]:
11/02/2010
Vincent Buys 18239 34959 52.17%
Kelli Linville 16720 34959 47.83%
11/03/2010
Vincent Buys 20160 39218 51.41%
Kelli Linville 19058 39218 48.6%
11/04/2010
Vincent Buys 22187 43474 51.04%
Kelli Linville 21287 43474 48.96%
11/05/2010
Vincent Buys 24920 49295 50.55%
Kelli Linville 24375 49295 49.45%
11/06/2010 (Saturday Count)
Vincent Buys 26367 52019 50.69%
Kelli Linville 25652 52019 49.31%
11/08/2010
Vincent Buys 29439 58348 50.45%
Kelli Linville 28909 58348 49.55%
11/09/2010
Vincent Buys 29936 59561 50.26%
Kelli Linville 29625 59561 49.74%
11/10/2010
Vincent Buys 30433 60625 50.2%
Kelli Linville 30192 60625 49.8%

[Whatcom County Results for 11/10/2010 with 400 ballots left to count]

Patty Murray 44406 84724 52.41
Dino Rossi 40318 84724 47.59
John Koster 39434 84543 46.64
Rick Larsen 45109 84543 53.36




Kristine Lytton 14222 22871 62.18
Mike Newman 8649 22871 37.82
Jeff Morris 14048 22874 61.41
John Swapp 8826 22874 38.59
Doug Ericksen 36084 60165 59.98
Pat Jerns 24081 60165 40.02
Jason Overstreet 31711 60016 52.84
Al Jensen 28305 60016 47.16
Vincent Buys 30433 60625 50.2
Kelli Linville 30192 60625 49.8




Richard B. Sanders 34039 67484 50.44
Charlie Wiggins 33445 67484 49.56
Jean Melious 32526 73615 44.18
Tony Larson 41089 73615 55.82

No comments: